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The AFM Research Lab

We backtest trading strategies across thousands of real trades.

The AFM Research Lab is where Ezekiel Chew and the AFM team pressure-test trading strategies. We take the strategies traders rely on — Order Blocks, Fair Value Gaps, Inside Bars and more — and test them across thousands of our own real trades and backtests to answer one question: what actually holds up in the real market?

See the Latest Findings

1,000s
Real Trades Behind Every Verdict
10+
Versions Tested Per Strategy
#1
Rated by Investopedia
20+
Years Trading the Markets
$13B
Bank Trusts the Method

What It Is

Most trading “edges” have never actually been tested.

The internet is full of strategies that look brilliant on a single chart — Order Blocks, Fair Value Gaps, supply & demand, the latest indicator. Almost none of them come with proof. So we do the work ourselves: we take a strategy, test it across thousands of our own real trades and backtests, and record exactly how it performed — in cold, hard numbers.

No screenshots of one lucky trade. No theory. Just the data on whether a strategy holds up in the real market over a large sample — and by how much.

How It Works

We don’t test a strategy once. We test every version of it.

The same strategy can make money or lose it depending on exactly how it’s traded. So before we trust anything, we run each strategy through more than ten variations — on our own trades and backtests, in real market conditions — to find the one version that genuinely holds up.

Step 1

Start with the textbook

We begin with the strategy exactly as it’s taught across the internet — the version most traders actually use.

As Taught

Step 2

Test every variation

Then we run it more than ten different ways — alternative entries, trend and session filters, confluence rules, risk models and tuned settings — all on our own real trades and backtests.

10+ Versions

Step 3

Keep only what survives

The single version that genuinely holds up across thousands of trades becomes the AFM method. Everything else gets exposed.

The AFM Method

And when not a single version holds up? We publish the strategy as a failure — so you know exactly what to avoid.

What We Test

The strategies the whole market is using — put to the test.

If traders are relying on it, we want to know whether it actually works. A few of the strategies on our research bench:

Order Blocks
Fair Value Gaps
Inside Bars
Supply & Demand
Break of Structure
Liquidity Grabs
Moving Average Crossovers
RSI Divergence
Fibonacci Retracements
Support & Resistance

The Numbers

Every test reports the metrics that actually matter.

A strategy isn’t “good” because it won the last trade. We judge it on the numbers that decide whether it’s profitable over the long run.

Win Rate
How often the strategy closed in profit
Profit Factor
Gross profit measured against gross loss
Expectancy
Average dollars won or lost per trade
Max Drawdown
The worst losing stretch you’d have endured
Sample Size
The number of real trades in the test

No Cherry-Picking

The strategies that fail get exposed.

We publish the losers, not just the winners. If a popular strategy doesn’t make money across thousands of trades, the lab says so — with the numbers to back it. That’s the entire point: you should know what doesn’t work before you risk a single cent on it.

From the Lab

The latest findings.

Real backtests, real numbers — each study published as the testing is completed.

Our first studies are being written up.

Research articles will appear here as soon as they’re published — check back soon.

Data Over Opinion

If it hasn’t been tested, it’s just an opinion.

Every method that earns the AFM name survives the lab first. Follow the research to see which strategies hold up under thousands of trades — and which ones fall apart.

Explore the Findings

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