Learn To Trade Forex • Best Forex Trading Course • AsiaForexMentor

Retail Sentiment Flaw: GBP/USD and AUD/USD Analysis

Written by

Ezekiel Chew

Updated on

August 30, 2024

i
Its a default text

Retail Sentiment Flaw: GBP/USD and AUD/USD Analysis

Written by:

Last updated on:

August 30, 2024

AUD/USD Insights:

  • 37.84% of traders are positioned long, creating a short-to-long ratio of 1.64:1.
  • Long positions have increased by 1.20% from yesterday but are down 12.53% from last week.
  • Short positions have climbed 1.79% from yesterday and are up 15.53% from last week.

Retail traders often counter the prevailing market trend, which is usually not advantageous in a trending environment. The principle that “the trend is your friend” supports the idea that a contrarian approach to sentiment can be valuable.

Recent data on AUD/USD shows a marked shift towards short positions over the past week. While there has been a reduction in long positions, short positions have surged significantly. This shift towards a net-short stance implies that, from a contrarian perspective, AUD/USD prices may continue to trend upward. The combination of current positioning with these changes points to a stronger bullish outlook for AUD/USD.

AUD/USD Client Positioning as of August 30th, 2024 (Source: DailyFX)

GBP/USD Insights:

  • 24.91% of traders are positioned long, resulting in a short-to-long ratio of 3.01:1.
  • Long positions have declined 1.91% from yesterday and 5.04% from last week.
  • Short positions have grown 2.84% from yesterday and increased by 8.96% over the last week.

For GBP/USD, the retail sentiment reveals a much stronger bias toward short positions. The number of traders holding long positions has consistently decreased both day-over-day and week-over-week, while short positions have risen significantly. This increasing net-short sentiment generally suggests that GBP/USD may continue to rise. The current stance, coupled with recent shifts, reinforces a bullish contrarian bias for GBP/USD.

GBP/USD Client Positioning as of August 30th, 2024 (Source: DailyFX)

About Ezekiel Chew​

Ezekiel Chew, founder and head of training at Asia Forex Mentor, is a renowned forex expert, frequently invited to speak at major industry events. Known for his deep market insights, Ezekiel is one of the top traders committed to supporting the trading community. Making six figures per trade, he also trains traders working in banks, fund management, and prop trading firms.

Bitcoin Slow Recovery: What’s Holding the Market Back?

Bitcoin slow recovery is trying to climb out of a 330 billion slump as big buyers quietly pull back from the market now. After October’s sharp swings, the price moved up then stopped near 100,000, showing a recovery still lacking real strength today. ETF buyers and corporate treasuries stepped away

Read More

AI’s Rise Puts Finance on Alert

The Federal Reserve is balancing innovation and risk as artificial intelligence moves deeper into the global financial system today. At the Singapore FinTech Festival , a senior Fed official said banking’s fast use of AI needs clear rules to stay stable. Regulators must balance new technology with safety, making sure

Read More

The Quiet Warning Markets Aren’t Listening To

The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) has cautioned that markets may be underestimating geopolitical and macroeconomic risks as signs of fragmentation emerge in the global financial system. At a conference in Queensland, RBA Assistant Governor Brad Jones pointed to diverging trends in how central banks manage their reserves, noting that

Read More

Bitunix Review 2025 – REAL Traders Report

            OPEN AN ACCOUNT             Bitunix Review The world of crypto trading changes fast. Every trade can make a difference, and not every crypto exchange is built the same. Some are new and bold, while others quietly focus on building trust

Read More

Markets Slip as Tech Weakness Shakes Risk Sentiment

After a wild week for tech, the U.S. stock market looks like it’s still nursing a headache. Futures for the Dow, S&P 500, and Nasdaq edged lower Thursday night, signaling a quiet start after a heavy sell-off. Source: YahooFinance The Dow Jones futures lingered under the flatline, while S&P 500

Read More

What’s Really Happening Below $100,000

After months of record highs and unshakable optimism, Bitcoin’s momentum has finally met resistance. The cryptocurrency tumbled more than 7% in a single trading session, sliding toward the $100,000 zone. But the real story isn’t the price, it’s the mood. Across global markets, investors are growing uneasy. A surge in

Read More

Retail Sentiment Flaw: GBP/USD and AUD/USD Analysis

4.0
Overall Trust Index

Written by:

Updated:

August 30, 2024

AUD/USD Insights:

  • 37.84% of traders are positioned long, creating a short-to-long ratio of 1.64:1.
  • Long positions have increased by 1.20% from yesterday but are down 12.53% from last week.
  • Short positions have climbed 1.79% from yesterday and are up 15.53% from last week.
Retail traders often counter the prevailing market trend, which is usually not advantageous in a trending environment. The principle that "the trend is your friend" supports the idea that a contrarian approach to sentiment can be valuable. Recent data on AUD/USD shows a marked shift towards short positions over the past week. While there has been a reduction in long positions, short positions have surged significantly. This shift towards a net-short stance implies that, from a contrarian perspective, AUD/USD prices may continue to trend upward. The combination of current positioning with these changes points to a stronger bullish outlook for AUD/USD.
AUD/USD Client Positioning as of August 30th, 2024 (Source: DailyFX)

GBP/USD Insights:

  • 24.91% of traders are positioned long, resulting in a short-to-long ratio of 3.01:1.
  • Long positions have declined 1.91% from yesterday and 5.04% from last week.
  • Short positions have grown 2.84% from yesterday and increased by 8.96% over the last week.
For GBP/USD, the retail sentiment reveals a much stronger bias toward short positions. The number of traders holding long positions has consistently decreased both day-over-day and week-over-week, while short positions have risen significantly. This increasing net-short sentiment generally suggests that GBP/USD may continue to rise. The current stance, coupled with recent shifts, reinforces a bullish contrarian bias for GBP/USD.
GBP/USD Client Positioning as of August 30th, 2024 (Source: DailyFX)
ezekiel chew asiaforexmentor

About Ezekiel Chew

Ezekiel Chew, founder and head of training at Asia Forex Mentor, is a renowned forex expert, frequently invited to speak at major industry events. Known for his deep market insights, Ezekiel is one of the top traders committed to supporting the trading community. Making six figures per trade, he also trains traders working in banks, fund management, and prop trading firms.

RELATED ARTICLES

I consent to receiving emails and/or text message reminders for this event.

REGISTER FOR THE MASTERCLASS!