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Gold, Oil, and USD/JPY Sentiment Outlook

Written by:

Ezekiel Chew

Last updated on:

July 30, 2024

Gold Analysis

Analysis of retail trader positioning indicates 56.19% are net-long, with a long-to-short ratio of 1.28 to 1. Net-long traders have decreased by 2.47% since yesterday and 3.96% from last week, while net-short traders have increased by 7.34% since yesterday but decreased by 4.98% from last week.

Using a contrarian approach to market sentiment, it is suggested that Gold prices may continue to decline, given the net-long position of traders. However, the positioning is less net-long than yesterday but more net-long than last week. This blend of current sentiment and recent shifts results in a mixed trading outlook for Gold.

Gold Analysis for June 30, 2024 (Source: IG, DailyFX)

Oil – US Crude Analysis

Retail trader data reveals 84.07% are net-long, with a long-to-short ratio of 5.28 to 1. Net-long traders have increased by 11.02% since yesterday and 18.68% from last week, while net-short traders have decreased by 7.18% since yesterday and 34.26% from last week.

Our contrarian approach to market sentiment suggests Oil – US Crude prices may continue to decline, given the net-long position of traders. The increase in net-long positions both since yesterday and last week reinforces a stronger bearish contrarian trading bias for Oil – US Crude.

Oil-US Crude Analysis for June 30, 2024 (Source: IG, DailyFX)

USD/JPY Analysis

Retail trader positioning shows 40.25% are net-long, with a short-to-long ratio of 1.48 to 1. Net-long traders have increased by 1.25% since yesterday and 7.52% from last week, while net-short traders have increased by 0.77% since yesterday but decreased by 16.88% from last week.

The analysts' approach to market sentiment suggests USD/JPY prices may continue to rise, given the net-short position of traders. However, traders are less net-short than yesterday and compared to last week. These recent shifts in sentiment indicate that the current USD/JPY price trend may soon reverse lower, despite traders remaining net-short.

USD/JPY Analysis for June 30, 2024 (Source: IG, DailyFX)

About Ezekiel Chew​

Ezekiel Chew, founder and head of training at Asia Forex Mentor, is a renowned forex expert, frequently invited to speak at major industry events. Known for his deep market insights, Ezekiel is one of the top traders committed to supporting the trading community. Making six figures per trade, he also trains traders working in banks, fund management, and prop trading firms.

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Gold, Oil, and USD/JPY Sentiment Outlook

Written by:

Updated:

July 30, 2024

Gold Analysis

Analysis of retail trader positioning indicates 56.19% are net-long, with a long-to-short ratio of 1.28 to 1. Net-long traders have decreased by 2.47% since yesterday and 3.96% from last week, while net-short traders have increased by 7.34% since yesterday but decreased by 4.98% from last week. Using a contrarian approach to market sentiment, it is suggested that Gold prices may continue to decline, given the net-long position of traders. However, the positioning is less net-long than yesterday but more net-long than last week. This blend of current sentiment and recent shifts results in a mixed trading outlook for Gold.
Gold Analysis for June 30, 2024 (Source: IG, DailyFX)

Oil - US Crude Analysis

Retail trader data reveals 84.07% are net-long, with a long-to-short ratio of 5.28 to 1. Net-long traders have increased by 11.02% since yesterday and 18.68% from last week, while net-short traders have decreased by 7.18% since yesterday and 34.26% from last week. Our contrarian approach to market sentiment suggests Oil - US Crude prices may continue to decline, given the net-long position of traders. The increase in net-long positions both since yesterday and last week reinforces a stronger bearish contrarian trading bias for Oil - US Crude.
Oil-US Crude Analysis for June 30, 2024 (Source: IG, DailyFX)

USD/JPY Analysis

Retail trader positioning shows 40.25% are net-long, with a short-to-long ratio of 1.48 to 1. Net-long traders have increased by 1.25% since yesterday and 7.52% from last week, while net-short traders have increased by 0.77% since yesterday but decreased by 16.88% from last week. The analysts' approach to market sentiment suggests USD/JPY prices may continue to rise, given the net-short position of traders. However, traders are less net-short than yesterday and compared to last week. These recent shifts in sentiment indicate that the current USD/JPY price trend may soon reverse lower, despite traders remaining net-short.
USD/JPY Analysis for June 30, 2024 (Source: IG, DailyFX)
ezekiel chew asiaforexmentor

About Ezekiel Chew

Ezekiel Chew, founder and head of training at Asia Forex Mentor, is a renowned forex expert, frequently invited to speak at major industry events. Known for his deep market insights, Ezekiel is one of the top traders committed to supporting the trading community. Making six figures per trade, he also trains traders working in banks, fund management, and prop trading firms.

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